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Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 47.5

Sports→Settlement: UnderLiquidity: $206.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $188.2KEvent: Colts vs. Commanders
0.0¢
Over payout
100.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $1.3K net·11 wallets·$40.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$25.0K@ 47¢·Mastermoney

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Under. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 48 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 48 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
chubbytoro3 linked markets · $454.3K gross
HomeRunHazard19 linked markets · $340.7K gross
maz267 linked markets · $251.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 47.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $10.1K
24hOver · $35.2K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.6¢▼ below by 45.6pp
VWAP 7d46.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$23.6K
45¢
$45.0K
40¢
$13.5K
35¢
$7.4K
30¢
$172
25¢
$0
20¢
$38
15¢
$0
10¢
$3
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.1K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$25.0K@ 47.0¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MastermoneyOver$25.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
RISE1Over$10.4K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.