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Spread: Vikings (-3.5)

Sports→Settlement: VikingsLiquidity: $259.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.2KEvent: Dolphins vs. Vikings
100.0¢
Vikings payout
0.0¢
Dolphins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vikings · $14.4K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$42.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVikings$14.8K@ 74¢·one8tyfive

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vikings. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz262 linked markets · $255.9K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $217.2K gross
iDARKenjoyer7 linked markets · $105.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vikings; negative values favor Dolphins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $0
6hDolphins · $1.7K
24hVikings · $3.8K

Vikings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vikings price. Dolphins fills are converted to the complementary Vikings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.4¢▲ above by 28.6pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vikings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$818
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.1K
70¢
$94.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVikings$12.1K@ 71.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYVikings$14.8K@ 74.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

one8tyfiveVikings$23.4K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·2 fills
0xbc43…96d3Dolphins$13.7K
BUY VWAP 26.8¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Vikings$12.1K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardVikings$11.8K
BUY VWAP 73.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.