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Broncos vs. 49ers

Sports→Settlement: 49ersLiquidity: $903.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.6MEvent: Broncos vs. 49ers
0.0¢
Broncos payout
100.0¢
49ers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:308 trades$63.8K trackedsource coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1393 min agoofficial metadata 1372 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:49ers · $901.1K net·39 wallets(4🐋)·$1.2M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY49ers$189.0K@ 60¢·maz26

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 49ers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos".

•If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz263 linked markets · $722.5K gross
mooseborzoii5 linked markets · $428.8K gross
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $311.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY 49ers1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY 49ers1d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY 49ers@ 57.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY 49ers@ 62.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +31.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Broncos; negative values favor 49ers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h49ers · $16.5K
6h49ers · $1.1M
24h49ers · $1.3M

Broncos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Broncos price. 49ers fills are converted to the complementary Broncos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h38.5¢▼ below by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d38.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Broncos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$91.6K
45¢
$154.2K
40¢
$1.6M
35¢
$746.0K
30¢
$18.0K
25¢
$82.2K
20¢
$65.8K
15¢
$40.0K
10¢
$12.9K
5¢
$28.4K
0¢
← now
$32.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY49ers$23.1K@ 85.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$16.8K@ 72.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$11.1K@ 75.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$19.6K@ 40.0¢
Paracellus0xa8a5…122b
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$16.7K@ 40.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$16.7K@ 62.0¢
stackingsats0x7a88…41cc
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$66.7K@ 62.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$32.7K@ 62.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$16.4K@ 62.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$50.8K@ 62.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$18.6K@ 62.0¢0xbc43…96d3🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$15.9K@ 65.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$11.1K@ 35.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$12.0K@ 65.0¢
newdogbeginning0xfea3…d227
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$19.5K@ 65.0¢
EV-Andars0xae7f…6f49
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$23.5K@ 64.0¢
Laskhask0x3682…df75
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$17.4K@ 62.0¢
BaronenBaron0xb8ba…da22
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$10.2K@ 62.0¢
matanovik0x39d3…9ef0
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$10.4K@ 63.0¢
matanovik0x39d3…9ef0
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$125.1K@ 62.0¢
newdogbeginning0xfea3…d227
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$18.8K@ 62.0¢
Qpkwks0x9ee8…89de
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$20.5K@ 62.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$23.2K@ 57.0¢
Qpkwks0x9ee8…89de
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$10.5K@ 43.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$19.5K@ 65.0¢0xbc43…96d3🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$14.8K@ 45.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$12.5K@ 45.0¢
jarosbill0x927c…6633
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$15.8K@ 44.0¢0xd3a0…f136🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$13.5K@ 46.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$23.3K@ 50.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$25.5K@ 51.0¢0xbc43…96d3🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$19.5K@ 50.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$11.0K@ 42.4¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$23.2K@ 58.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$31.8K@ 42.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$19.4K@ 39.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$13.7K@ 39.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$37.4K@ 42.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$20.3K@ 41.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$10.1K@ 56.3¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$24.0K@ 57.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$11.0K@ 41.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$10.7K@ 59.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$31.0K@ 41.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$10.0K@ 65.0¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$12.2K@ 37.0¢
jarosbill0x927c…6633
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$16.2K@ 60.0¢
stackingsats0x7a88…41cc
🐋—1 day ago
BUY49ers$77.1K@ 60.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$100.0K@ 40.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBroncos$12.0K@ 40.0¢
Xyp9xFan0x2418…66c8
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz2649ers$668.7K
BUY VWAP 60.3¢·14 fills
Kch-Temp49ers$179.7K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoii49ers$162.7K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·13 fills
newdogbeginning49ers$137.1K
BUY VWAP 62.3¢·2 fills
Diabolical-PrizeBroncos$100.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
YEEES-but-why49ers$90.3K
BUY VWAP 60.8¢·4 fills
ethanazBroncos$89.5K
BUY VWAP 43.4¢·5 fills
KaneAnalyticsBroncos$89.5K
BUY VWAP 41.8¢·3 fills
0xbc43…96d349ers$83.0K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·7 fills
mooseborzoiiBroncos$75.8K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·23 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.