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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In
0.1¢
Nongshim Red Force
100.0¢
BNK FEARX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets3Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 33 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:393 trades$459.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $5.1K net·33 wallets(2🐋)·$148.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX$21.9K@ 99¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

BNK FEARX pressure: $29.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$29.3K
6h
−$29.3K
tracked
$459.6K

33 verified profitable wallets: BNK FEARX · $5.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +68.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 68.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BNK FEARX or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-27 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 4 against BNK FEARX.

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against Nongshim Red Force.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 4 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 27, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $210.8K gross
alexdave8884 linked markets · $164.8K gross
2543217584 linked markets · $141.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX17m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX17m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY BNK FEARX@ 32.0¢20m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Nongshim Red Force@ 75.0¢23m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Nongshim Red Force DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $617 → $439 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nongshim Red Force; negative values favor BNK FEARX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $29.3K
6hBNK FEARX · $29.3K
24hBNK FEARX · $29.3K

Nongshim Red Force price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nongshim Red Force price. BNK FEARX fills are converted to the complementary Nongshim Red Force probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h41.1¢▼ below by 41.0pp
VWAP 7d41.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Nongshim Red Force price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$6
75¢
$6.7K
70¢
$13.3K
65¢
$18.4K
60¢
$36.5K
55¢
$77.3K
50¢
$100.5K
45¢
$32.6K
40¢
$19.4K
35¢
$15.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$18.8K
10¢
$18.3K
5¢
$4.5K
0¢
← now
$96.2K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX$12.6K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—2 minutes ago
SELLBNK FEARX$19.6K@ 99.9¢
alubaman1230x6802…fd8a
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$16.4K@ 99.0¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$21.9K@ 99.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$11.9K@ 60.3¢
alubaman1230x6802…fd8a
🐋—15 minutes ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$14.1K@ 56.6¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$14.3K@ 45.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$10.0K@ 47.0¢
MaoZeDonK0x19ae…395c
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eNongshim Red Force$29.6K
BUY VWAP 54.2¢·13 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaBNK FEARX$23.9K
BUY VWAP 87.2¢·2 fills
111111111115BNK FEARX$17.6K
BUY VWAP 44.8¢·2 fills
vtcchampion52BNK FEARX$16.5K
BUY VWAP 61.1¢·9 fills
trgparkingBNK FEARX$16.4K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
MaoZeDonKBNK FEARX$13.2K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·2 fills
alubaman123BNK FEARX$11.9K
BUY VWAP 60.3¢·1 fill
254321758Nongshim Red Force$11.4K
BUY VWAP 66.9¢·2 fills
crypto-ericwu2Nongshim Red Force$10.9K
BUY VWAP 56.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.