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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $285.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $401.1KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
0.3¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
99.8¢
San Francisco Giants
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:100 trades$127.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Francisco Giants · $12.8K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$40.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$21.0K@ 52¢·0x4564…4eb1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

San Francisco Giants pressure: $7.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.1K
6h
+$19.1K
tracked
$127.1K

8 verified profitable wallets: San Francisco Giants · $12.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -50.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Francisco Giants or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 02:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 29 at 10:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $30.6K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $22.6K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $20.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -41.0pp
Latest book event: San Francisco Giants UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $635 → $6.7K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Francisco Giants · $7.1K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $19.1K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $22.2K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.3¢
VWAP 24h37.0¢▼ below by 36.7pp
VWAP 7d37.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1
55¢
$6.8K
50¢
$65.0K
45¢
$5.8K
40¢
$5.0K
35¢
$69
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.6K
20¢
$1
15¢
$6.2K
10¢
$26.1K
5¢
$2.8K
0¢
← now
$5.7K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Francisco Giants$12.1K@ 90.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$21.0K@ 51.7¢0x4564…4eb1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$20.4K@ 50.0¢0x4564…4eb1🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x4564…4eb1Arizona Diamondbacks$43.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cSan Francisco Giants$20.1K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.