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Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $270.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $234.7KEvent: Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics
89.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
10.5¢
Athletics
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets47Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:168 trades$74.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Athletics · $9.0K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$19.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$14.4K@ 54¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Athletics pressure: $7.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.9K
6h
−$2.5K
tracked
$74.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: Athletics · $9.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 54

Since latest market sweep: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 32.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Athletics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 02:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Athletics, scheduled for August 29 at 10:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $10.5K gross
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $10.1K gross
0x4f22 linked markets · $7.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Baltimore Orioles2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 58.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp
Latest book event: Athletics DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $12 → $1.8K · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Baltimore Orioles; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAthletics · $7.9K
6hAthletics · $2.5K
24hAthletics · $2.5K

Baltimore Orioles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Baltimore Orioles price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Baltimore Orioles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current89.5¢
VWAP 24h62.4¢▲ above by 27.1pp
VWAP 7d62.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Baltimore Orioles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$32
85¢
← now
$100
80¢
$9.2K
75¢
$7.4K
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$109
60¢
$8.0K
55¢
$27.5K
50¢
$19.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$14.4K@ 54.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAthletics$12.7K@ 43.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooBaltimore Orioles$14.4K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Athletics$12.7K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.