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Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)

Sports→Settlement: Atlanta DreamLiquidity: $183.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $117.2KEvent: Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury
100.0¢
Atlanta Dream payout
0.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:27 trades$5.7K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1330 min agoofficial metadata 810 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Dream · $991 net·3 wallets·$1.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Dream$8.7K@ 55¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Atlanta Dream. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream" if the Atlanta Dream win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream" if the Atlanta Dream win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
huli38823 linked markets · $18.0K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $14.1K gross
SunlineTicker2 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Phoenix Mercury DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $129 → $1 · 28s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Dream; negative values favor Phoenix Mercury. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $5.0K
6hAtlanta Dream · $5.8K
24hAtlanta Dream · $12.3K

Atlanta Dream price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Dream price. Phoenix Mercury fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Dream probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.6¢▲ above by 40.4pp
VWAP 7d59.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Dream price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2
75¢
$0
70¢
$5
65¢
$4
60¢
$1
55¢
$23
50¢
$32.0K
45¢
$6
40¢
$272
35¢
$25
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168Atlanta Dream$17.8K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.