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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: SpiritLiquidity: $5.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.6MEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
0.0¢
Legacy payout
100.0¢
Spirit payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit · $1.0M net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$1.0M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit$696.2K@ 76¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Spirit. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $129.5K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $81.0K gross
0x0063…2dd22 linked markets · $72.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Spirit@ 88.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Spirit1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Spirit@ 77.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Spirit@ 78.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $54.3K
6hSpirit · $1.1M
24hSpirit · $1.1M

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. Spirit fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.6¢▼ below by 22.6pp
VWAP 7d22.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$11.1K
30¢
$45.1K
25¢
$164.7K
20¢
$1.1M
15¢
$8.0K
10¢
$58.0K
5¢
$6.4K
0¢
← now
$60.3K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSpirit$33.8K@ 99.9¢
johny1300xd091…efb5
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$25.6K@ 88.0¢
Rusik70xa6a0…4469
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$27.2K@ 66.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$10.3K@ 65.0¢
lmtscapt0x5556…2759
🐋—1 day ago
BUYLegacy$12.8K@ 24.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$19.5K@ 77.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$15.1K@ 77.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—1 day ago
BUYLegacy$11.0K@ 24.0¢
BaccaratRoulette0x59f4…c1f1
🐋—1 day ago
SELLLegacy$14.1K@ 23.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$99.2K@ 77.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$16.8K@ 77.0¢
johny1300xd091…efb5
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$13.1K@ 76.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYLegacy$11.5K@ 23.0¢
MysteryPlayerrrrrrrrr0xf9d6…730a
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$160.4K@ 77.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$696.2K@ 76.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$10.0K@ 74.3¢
PS0030xf4ec…c574
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$46.4K@ 73.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSpirit$10.0K@ 74.5¢
cskingoringo0x6261…4adb
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekSpirit$955.7K
BUY VWAP 76.6¢·3 fills
StasPandaSpirit$46.4K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Spirit$41.1K
BUY VWAP 69.2¢·3 fills
Rusik7Spirit$38.6K
BUY VWAP 88.4¢·4 fills
johny130Spirit$25.7K
BUY VWAP 76.2¢·3 fills
MysteryPlayerrrrrrrrrLegacy$25.5K
BUY VWAP 18.2¢·4 fills
lmtscaptSpirit$22.4K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·4 fills
hurricanSpirit$19.5K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
jaytee158Spirit$15.1K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Legacy$12.8K
BUY VWAP 24.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.