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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Team SpiritLiquidity: $638.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Spirit payout
0.0¢
Team Liquid payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $56.6K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$62.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Spirit$30.0K@ 100¢·iii252

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Spirit. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 08:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $236.8K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $84.0K gross
fkcvffcjt3 linked markets · $75.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit2d ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Team Spirit@ 98.4¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Team Spirit@ 49.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Team Liquid@ 53.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -44.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $62.2K
6hTeam Spirit · $88.9K
24hTeam Spirit · $88.9K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.0¢▲ above by 25.0pp
VWAP 7d75.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$222.9K
90¢
$23.9K
85¢
$6.1K
80¢
$10.1K
75¢
$3.9K
70¢
$12.9K
65¢
$12.8K
60¢
$19.4K
55¢
$145.2K
50¢
$87.3K
45¢
$15.5K
40¢
$16.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit$30.0K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—2 days ago
SELLTeam Spirit$18.0K@ 99.9¢
mpoly0xaa57…a128
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$12.4K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$13.2K@ 99.0¢
errormargin30x5a56…10f5
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$14.7K@ 98.0¢
GandonioS0x47e8…efdc
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$14.2K@ 98.8¢
errormargin30x5a56…10f5
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$11.9K@ 49.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$21.4K@ 44.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 57.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Team Liquid$50.3K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·5 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$40.0K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·8 fills
errormargin3Team Spirit$34.2K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·5 fills
skdedTeam Spirit$19.9K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·12 fills
BetBadBetTeam Spirit$17.5K
BUY VWAP 91.7¢·9 fills
GandonioSTeam Spirit$17.0K
BUY VWAP 88.2¢·2 fills
SkyfkerTeam Spirit$16.3K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·4 fills
Sisyphus.Team Spirit$12.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
HdisllbsjTeam Spirit$11.9K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·3 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTeam Spirit$11.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.