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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $572.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
39.5¢
FUT Esports payout
60.5¢
MOUZ payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $61.0K net·13 wallets(3🐋)·$188.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFUT Esports$48.4K@ 100¢·ifpl

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FUT Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FUT Esports and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $133.8K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $88.7K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $41.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY MOUZ@ 49.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -48.8pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY MOUZ@ 64.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -54.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY MOUZ@ 63.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -53.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 64.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -54.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FUT Esports; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $28.0K
6hMOUZ · $168.4K
24hMOUZ · $151.3K

FUT Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FUT Esports price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary FUT Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h64.9¢▼ below by 25.4pp
VWAP 7d64.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FUT Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$136.9K
90¢
$2.3K
85¢
$160
80¢
$27.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$42.9K
65¢
$18.9K
60¢
$203
55¢
$6.4K
50¢
$21.1K
45¢
$12.1K
40¢
$75.2K
35¢
← now
$88.9K
30¢
$29.7K
25¢
$30
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFUT Esports$16.6K@ 99.9¢
sofa888880xa103…1c14
🐋—3 days ago
SELLFUT Esports$48.4K@ 99.9¢
ifpl0x9368…80a3
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFUT Esports$20.0K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFUT Esports$12.6K@ 99.9¢
TheVeteran770x6304…e570
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFUT Esports$17.6K@ 71.0¢
ifpl0x9368…80a3
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFUT Esports$14.0K@ 68.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$12.7K@ 65.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$13.4K@ 65.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$12.9K@ 65.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$14.8K@ 65.1¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$10.6K@ 63.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$16.7K@ 61.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—4 days ago
BUYFUT Esports$15.0K@ 40.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—4 days ago
BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 61.4¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFUT Esports$12.0K@ 40.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49MOUZ$65.8K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·8 fills
ifplFUT Esports$34.0K
BUY VWAP 70.8¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563MOUZ$27.3K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·2 fills
0xf559…f462FUT Esports$15.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49FUT Esports$13.6K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·3 fills
AV23IUaFUT Esports$12.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
kamloicMOUZ$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.