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Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees

Sports→Closes: 18 daysLiquidity: $539.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $585.8KEvent: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
99.9¢
Houston Astros
1.0¢
New York Yankees
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$173.6K@ 58¢·Winnerdinnerchickenjr

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 25 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 24d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 24d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY New York Yankees@ 48.0¢25d ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h CONFIRMED +35.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 58.0¢25d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Houston Astros@ 44.0¢25d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Astros; negative values favor New York Yankees. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $17.7K
6hNew York Yankees · $151.9K
24hNew York Yankees · $162.7K

Houston Astros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Astros price. New York Yankees fills are converted to the complementary Houston Astros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h44.1¢▲ above by 55.8pp
VWAP 7d44.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Astros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.0K
90¢
$160
85¢
$20
80¢
$7.2K
75¢
$8
70¢
$15.1K
65¢
$8
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$30
45¢
$7
40¢
$231.9K
35¢
$5.9K
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$196
20¢
$3
15¢
$14.6K
10¢
$10
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees$173.6K@ 58.0¢
Winnerdinnerchickenjr0x408f…b2f4
🐋—25 days ago
BUYHouston Astros$30.2K@ 43.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—25 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.