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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $204.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $168.9KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
54.5¢
Invictus Gaming
45.5¢
JD Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:62 trades$178.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$34.4K@ 54¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $61.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$61.9K
6h
+$61.9K
tracked
$178.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Invictus Gaming · $25.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against JD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Invictus Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $358.0K gross
fkcvffcjt3 linked markets · $207.4K gross
BrotherObama3 linked markets · $179.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 55.0¢0m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY JD Gaming@ 47.0¢12m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 54.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $6.8K → $1.5K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor JD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $61.9K
6hInvictus Gaming · $61.9K
24hInvictus Gaming · $61.9K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. JD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h53.7¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d53.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$49.8K
50¢
← now
$128.6K
45¢
$47
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInvictus Gaming$34.4K@ 54.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$28.7K@ 47.3¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$25.0K@ 57.7¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$14.8K@ 53.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—20 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
51.5¢$2.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$2.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
77.5¢$1.4Mpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100.0¢$72.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
77.5¢$1.2Mpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
56.5¢$579.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Invictus Gaming$49.2K
BUY VWAP 53.7¢·2 fills
fantasy7788JD Gaming$28.7K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·1 fill
Jer-PredictInvictus Gaming$25.0K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52Invictus Gaming$15.8K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·5 fills
laopilaoJD Gaming$13.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.