PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Texans (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $231.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $58.3KEvent: Texans vs. Colts
46.5¢
Texans
53.5¢
Colts
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$9.1K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 577 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Colts · $25.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$34.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColts$23.2K@ 50¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$9.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: Colts · $25.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 577 minutes old.
  • •Less than 19h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texans" if the Texans win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colts".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if the Texans win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz262 linked markets · $24.5K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $23.6K gross
Herdonia2 linked markets · $14.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Colts@ 52.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texans; negative values favor Colts. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexans · $0
6hTexans · $0
24hColts · $3.9K

Texans price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texans price. Colts fills are converted to the complementary Texans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Texans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$27.5K
45¢
← now
$11.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYColts$23.2K@ 49.5¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—2 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Colts (-3.5)
33.5¢$143.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texans vs. Colts
52.5¢$111.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
100.0¢$733.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
74.5¢$607.0Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
84.5¢$364.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Colts$23.2K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.