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Spread: Texans (-1.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: ColtsLiquidity: $132.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $262.3KEvent: Texans vs. Colts
0.0¢
Texans payout
100.0¢
Colts payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColts$46.9K@ 51¢·maz26

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Colts. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texans" if the Texans win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colts".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if the Texans win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Colts24d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Colts@ 52.0¢24d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Texans@ 50.0¢24d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texans; negative values favor Colts. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexans · $0
6hTexans · $35.0K
24hTexans · $37.5K

Texans price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texans price. Colts fills are converted to the complementary Texans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.4¢▼ below by 36.4pp
VWAP 7d36.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Texans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$54.5K
45¢
$50.4K
40¢
$8
35¢
$2
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$4
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$36.3K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLColts$36.3K@ 99.9¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—24 days ago
BUYColts$46.9K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—24 days ago
BUYTexans$12.5K@ 50.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—24 days ago
BUYTexans$16.4K@ 50.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—24 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.