PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 3.5

Geopolitics→Settlement: UnderLiquidity: $77.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $153.0KEvent: Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets
0.0¢
Over payout
100.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $14.5K net·4 wallets·$14.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$14.3K@ 55¢·0x793d…ac40

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Under. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming German Super Cup game between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, scheduled for August 22 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $12.2K gross
swisstony2 linked markets · $3.4K gross
0xe911…3d4e2 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $9.2K
6hOver · $3.6K
24hOver · $3.6K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.4¢▼ below by 36.4pp
VWAP 7d36.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$73
55¢
$29
50¢
$22.1K
45¢
$12.5K
40¢
$210
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$104
25¢
$161
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$108
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$14.4K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$14.3K@ 54.6¢0x793d…ac40🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0.1¢$421.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
3.6¢$191.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
4.7¢$166.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
91.0¢$163.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
0.4¢$133.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
0.9¢$126.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
2.3¢$115.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
5.5¢$114.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x793d…ac40Over$14.3K
BUY VWAP 54.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.