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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Sports→Settlement: Natus VincereLiquidity: $562.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $863.0KEvent: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
0.0¢
Fnatic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:225 trades$376.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 370 min agoofficial metadata 320 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $5.4K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$105.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNatus Vincere$35.1K@ 100¢·Donghui

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Natus Vincere. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic.

•This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $156.0K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $62.3K gross
fkcvffcjt3 linked markets · $40.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Natus Vincere8h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 63.0¢8h ago
15m CONFIRMED +30.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Natus Vincere@ 44.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +21.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 43.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Natus Vincere DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $374 → $567 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor Fnatic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFnatic · $50
6hFnatic · $18.6K
24hNatus Vincere · $17.3K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. Fnatic fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.7¢▲ above by 34.3pp
VWAP 7d65.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$103.0K
90¢
$12.2K
85¢
$9.1K
80¢
$6.0K
75¢
$19
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$56.6K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$121
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$20.0K
40¢
$160.1K
35¢
$4.2K
30¢
$22
25¢
$1.7K
20¢
$10
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNatus Vincere$35.1K@ 99.9¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—about 8 hours ago
SELLNatus Vincere$14.8K@ 99.9¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$14.8K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$11.0K@ 68.8¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYFnatic$17.2K@ 58.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$17.2K@ 43.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$29.3K@ 43.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$15.0K@ 44.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Natus Vincere$61.8K
BUY VWAP 46.1¢·4 fills
BrotherObamaNatus Vincere$29.2K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·5 fills
fkcvffcjtNatus Vincere$25.7K
BUY VWAP 88.2¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Fnatic$22.4K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·3 fills
backbackNatus Vincere$14.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
StasPandaFnatic$11.1K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.