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Seahawks vs. Commanders

Sports→Settlement: CommandersLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.7MEvent: Seahawks vs. Commanders
0.0¢
Seahawks payout
100.0¢
Commanders payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:370 trades$1.0M tracked5% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 89 min agoofficial metadata 48 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $93.2K net·34 wallets(4🐋)·$290.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCommanders$136.1K@ 23¢·Diabolical-Prize

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Commanders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks".

•If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz265 linked markets · $230.2K gross
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $164.7K gross
HomeRunHazard9 linked markets · $124.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Seahawks2h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGESELL Seahawks@ 37.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
COUNTER FLOWBUY Commanders@ 72.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 77.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Seahawks DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $280 → $44 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeahawks · $27.8K
6hSeahawks · $10.4K
24hSeahawks · $162.6K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h61.0¢▼ below by 61.0pp
VWAP 7d61.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$30.1K
75¢
$507.3K
70¢
$12.5K
65¢
$102.9K
60¢
$52.9K
55¢
$45.8K
50¢
$64.5K
45¢
$32.2K
40¢
$7.0K
35¢
$18.6K
30¢
$8.7K
25¢
$6.3K
20¢
$4.0K
15¢
$29.8K
10¢
$3.4K
5¢
$94.0K
0¢
← now
$12.4K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$19.1K@ 19.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCommanders$60.5K@ 93.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLCommanders$10.1K@ 91.1¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLSeahawks$16.8K@ 67.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$13.6K@ 68.0¢
ThePrinceThatWasPromised0xc3ca…688e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLSeahawks$31.8K@ 67.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$20.5K@ 50.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$31.5K@ 50.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$17.3K@ 69.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$14.2K@ 81.0¢0xd3a0…f136🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$14.0K@ 78.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYCommanders$136.1K@ 23.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$18.8K@ 77.0¢
wigglew0xc96e…f1f9
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$10.6K@ 77.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$11.8K@ 77.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$10.6K@ 77.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$10.6K@ 77.0¢
mirotvorets0x7d9d…3c52
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYCommanders$16.2K@ 23.0¢
takeormake0xa38a…821d
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$105.3K@ 78.0¢
nuttypoo0xa1e6…e1c2
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeCommanders$136.1K
BUY VWAP 23.0¢·1 fill
nuttypooSeahawks$105.3K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill
177-letsgoCommanders$60.5K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill
maz26Seahawks$52.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
fkcvffcjtSeahawks$47.0K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·12 fills
0x2c33…0563Seahawks$32.6K
BUY VWAP 31.4¢·4 fills
ThePrinceThatWasPromisedSeahawks$30.5K
BUY VWAP 62.4¢·5 fills
sifonmanSeahawks$26.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·3 fills
KaneAnalyticsSeahawks$23.9K
BUY VWAP 21.6¢·2 fills
wigglewSeahawks$18.8K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.