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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: FURIALiquidity: $675.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.0MEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
100.0¢
FURIA payout
0.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $15.2K net·15 wallets(5🐋)·$368.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFURIA$70.2K@ 100¢·dauntlesswitness

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome FURIA. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-19 23:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $195.7K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $163.2K gross
mpoly3 linked markets · $53.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY FURIA@ 34.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Aurora Gaming@ 31.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 33.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA4d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor Aurora Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $1.9K
6hAurora Gaming · $47.3K
24hFURIA · $6.0K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. Aurora Gaming fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.6¢▲ above by 30.4pp
VWAP 7d69.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$155.0K
90¢
$14.5K
85¢
$3.3K
80¢
$8.7K
75¢
$14.0K
70¢
$12.7K
65¢
$21.7K
60¢
$294.1K
55¢
$112.3K
50¢
$10.5K
45¢
$5.4K
40¢
$3.0K
35¢
$14.5K
30¢
$13.6K
25¢
$6.3K
20¢
$6.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA$70.2K@ 99.9¢
dauntlesswitness0xf177…5f6a
🐋—4 days ago
SELLFURIA$27.5K@ 99.9¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFURIA$14.3K@ 59.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYAurora Gaming$15.0K@ 40.6¢0xf559…f462🐋—4 days ago
BUYFURIA$35.0K@ 60.1¢
dauntlesswitness0xf177…5f6a
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFURIA$15.3K@ 59.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYFURIA$10.3K@ 58.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—4 days ago
BUYAurora Gaming$17.8K@ 37.2¢0x2c33…0563🐋—4 days ago
BUYAurora Gaming$11.0K@ 37.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 days ago
BUYAurora Gaming$15.1K@ 38.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFURIA$12.4K@ 62.0¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—4 days ago
BUYFURIA$22.0K@ 62.0¢
GRINGOMATE0x447d…5eea
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49FURIA$54.0K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·8 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fFURIA$41.8K
BUY VWAP 70.9¢·25 fills
dauntlesswitnessFURIA$41.7K
BUY VWAP 60.3¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Aurora Gaming$38.0K
BUY VWAP 35.9¢·11 fills
CORGI8Aurora Gaming$26.4K
BUY VWAP 39.1¢·3 fills
GRINGOMATEFURIA$22.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Aurora Gaming$17.8K
BUY VWAP 37.2¢·1 fill
thatguythatguyFURIA$17.1K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills
JUSTINHERBERTMVPFURIA$16.7K
BUY VWAP 62.4¢·4 fills
0xf559…f462Aurora Gaming$15.0K
BUY VWAP 40.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.