Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

● quote 97 min ago
SportsCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $189.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $461.0KEvent: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
70.5¢
YES
29.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$112.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 143 min agoofficial metadata 100 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoomBoys (NO)$26.2K@ 26¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$3
6h
+$1.5K
tracked
$112.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$92 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 97 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 143 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 100 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between TEAM VISION and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win the match against BoomBoys. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win the match against TEAM VISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BoomBoys@ 31.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h STALLED -3.0pp
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY BoomBoys@ 29.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY BoomBoys@ 31.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY BoomBoys@ 26.0¢10h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h STALLED +2.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$3
6h+$1.5K
24h$97.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current70.5¢
VWAP 24h70.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d72.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$11.6K
75¢
$30.3K
70¢
← now
$47.2K
65¢
$62.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$17.1K@ 31.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 9 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$26.2K@ 26.2¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$10.2K@ 78.0¢0x4c9c…e006🐋1 day ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$11.6K@ 80.0¢0x8002…8b6c🐋2 days ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$11.8K@ 78.0¢0x9f15…bdb3🐋3 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner
32.5¢$656.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
76.5¢$577.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
38.5¢$575.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner
35.5¢$445.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$400.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
91.0¢$394.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
26.0¢$352.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115BoomBoys$104.8K
BUY VWAP 29.4¢·14 fills
0x9f15…bdb3TEAM VISION$15.7K
BUY VWAP 78.4¢·2 fills
0x8002…8b6cTEAM VISION$11.6K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
0x4c9c…e006TEAM VISION$10.2K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.