LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

● quote 69 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $669.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $577.1KEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly89Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:125 trades$284.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 117 min agoofficial metadata 70 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$12.3K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$73.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G (YES)$23.2K@ 82¢·zb8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$7.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.4K
6h
+$52.7K
tracked
$284.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$12.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -83.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 69 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 117 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 70 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $28.4K gross
StasPanda2 linked markets · $26.5K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $16.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Gen.G2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Gen.G2h ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 83.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 83.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$7.4K
6h+$52.7K
24h+$54.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h89.8¢▲ above by 10.1pp
VWAP 7d89.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$128.1K
90¢
$5.6K
85¢
$10.1K
80¢
$107.5K
75¢
$28.9K
70¢
$4.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLGen.G (YES)$12.2K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLGen.G (YES)$20.9K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$15.4K@ 99.8¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$11.7K@ 81.0¢0x67ac…edf1🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$23.2K@ 82.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

zb8Gen.G$23.2K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill
5e46hGen.G$19.9K
BUY VWAP 97.8¢·3 fills
0x67ac…edf1Gen.G$11.7K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.