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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

● quote 53 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $161.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:274 trades$424.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 56 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$10.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$21.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA (YES)$37.8K@ 47¢·0x8a86…4998

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$406
6h
+$50.3K
tracked
$424.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$10.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: -23.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 53 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 59 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 56 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Dplus KIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217582 linked markets · $107.4K gross
crypto-ericwu22 linked markets · $81.5K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $68.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Dplus KIA@ 24.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Dplus KIA@ 47.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h INVALIDATED -25.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 4.3pp · near-book depth $18.5K → $3.7K · 6s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$406
6h+$50.3K
24h+$8.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h44.4¢▼ below by 44.4pp
VWAP 7d44.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$14.3K
60¢
$9.0K
55¢
$25.0K
50¢
$24.3K
45¢
$315.8K
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$2.7K
30¢
$29
25¢
$6.4K
20¢
$52.0K
15¢
$4.2K
10¢
$2.7K
5¢
$9.1K
0¢
← now
$56

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$11.5K@ 23.0¢0x1660…5598🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$10.9K@ 48.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$17.6K@ 48.0¢0x8a86…4998🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$37.8K@ 47.2¢0x8a86…4998🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$16.4K@ 47.0¢0x8a86…4998🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$24.0K@ 48.0¢0x1660…5598🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$17.3K@ 52.0¢
crypto-ericwu20xd967…1409
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$14.9K@ 51.0¢
crypto-ericwu20xd967…1409
🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x8a86…4998Dplus KIA$71.8K
BUY VWAP 47.4¢·3 fills
0x1660…5598Dplus KIA$35.5K
BUY VWAP 35.5¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Hanwha Life Esports$33.7K
BUY VWAP 51.7¢·7 fills
crypto-ericwu2Hanwha Life Esports$32.2K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·2 fills
0xc69b…2076Hanwha Life Esports$22.7K
BUY VWAP 46.9¢·11 fills
0xd202…8973Hanwha Life Esports$17.5K
BUY VWAP 53.5¢·2 fills
zb8Dplus KIA$10.9K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.