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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Sports→Settlement: EDward GamingLiquidity: $1.7MOfficial 24h Vol: $475.7KEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢
EDward Gaming payout
0.0¢
ThunderTalk Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:EDward Gaming · $4.2K net·3 wallets·$17.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEDward Gaming$20.8K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome EDward Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 28, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JaJa8882 linked markets · $138.5K gross
TeGeeLP2 linked markets · $79.8K gross
alexdinner2 linked markets · $39.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor EDward Gaming; negative values favor ThunderTalk Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunderTalk Gaming · $1.4K
6hEDward Gaming · $12.9K
24hThunderTalk Gaming · $2.1K

EDward Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted EDward Gaming price. ThunderTalk Gaming fills are converted to the complementary EDward Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.4¢▲ above by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d70.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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EDward Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$63.4K
90¢
$166
85¢
$6
80¢
$6.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$29.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$33
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$18.0K
40¢
$52.8K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$13
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEDward Gaming$20.8K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaEDward Gaming$20.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
sbsignerThunderTalk Gaming$10.7K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.