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Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Chicago CubsLiquidity: $168.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $198.5KEvent: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
100.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
0.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$12.1K@ 46¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Chicago Cubs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-14 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 14 at 2:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor St. Louis Cardinals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSt. Louis Cardinals · $4.5K
6hChicago Cubs · $25.8K
24hChicago Cubs · $43.5K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. St. Louis Cardinals fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.1¢▲ above by 49.9pp
VWAP 7d50.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.4K
90¢
$136
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$51.1K
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$12.1K@ 46.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.