Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

● quote 22 min ago
SportsCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $393.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $324.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
56.5¢
YES
43.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:62 trades$154.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $24.5K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$24.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPARIVISION (YES)$25.2K@ 56¢·0x73e3…1be9

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$33.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$33.2K
6h
+$33.8K
tracked
$154.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$24.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 57

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 22 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and 100 Thieves in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 22h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY 100 Thieves@ 46.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$33.2K
6h+$33.8K
24h$5.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h55.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d55.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$124.4K
50¢
$56.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$25.2K@ 56.0¢0x73e3…1be9🐋31 minutes ago
BUY100 Thieves (NO)$14.9K@ 45.0¢0x4572…83ff🐋about 3 hours ago
BUY100 Thieves (NO)$18.4K@ 46.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x73e3…1be9PARIVISION$25.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
AV23IUa100 Thieves$18.4K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
0x4572…83ff100 Thieves$14.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
skyman44PARIVISION$12.3K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·2 fills
0xf559…f462100 Thieves$12.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·3 fills
0xf4ec…c574PARIVISION$10.8K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.