Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

● quote 26 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $752.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $318.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:72 trades$84.8K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 108 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$12.3K·2 wallets·$28.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPARIVISION (YES)$7.9K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.3K
tracked
$84.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$12.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 26 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 108 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and 100 Thieves in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $24.6K gross
0x4572…83ff3 linked markets · $23.9K gross
0x0063…2dd22 linked markets · $12.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.3K$1.8K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$1.3K
24h+$1.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h84.9¢▲ above by 15.1pp
VWAP 7d84.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$47.9K
90¢
$10.1K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$2.5K
75¢
$246
70¢
$264
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$35
55¢
$3.6K
50¢
$11.8K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RoshanMVPPARIVISION$17.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.