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Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5

Sports→Settlement: UnderLiquidity: $144.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Steelers vs. Patriots
0.0¢
Over payout
100.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:34 trades$676.1K tracked44% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 190 min agoofficial metadata 83 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$81.2K@ 51¢·ratatatatatatatataaaa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Under. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Steelers and Patriots combine to score 42 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 42, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Steelers and Patriots combine to score 42 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 42, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $437.8K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r3 linked markets · $213.1K gross
THEdirkdiggler2 linked markets · $87.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Under@ 52.0¢7h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 49.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Over@ 49.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Under@ 52.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Over UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $970 → $23 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hUnder · $30.9K
24hUnder · $364.1K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▼ below by 48.5pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$69.1K
45¢
$603.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$4.9K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$26.0K@ 52.0¢
THEdirkdiggler0x1e77…8c33
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUnder$20.0K@ 52.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYOver$25.6K@ 49.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYUnder$40.8K@ 51.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYUnder$40.8K@ 51.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYUnder$40.8K@ 51.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYUnder$40.8K@ 51.0¢
weflyhigh0x03e8…1697
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYUnder$47.6K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYOver$13.8K@ 49.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYOver$31.0K@ 49.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYUnder$71.4K@ 51.0¢
ratatatatatatatataaaa0x7f8e…4487
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYOver$54.2K@ 50.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYUnder$70.2K@ 52.0¢
ratatatatatatatataaaa0x7f8e…4487
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYOver$11.5K@ 49.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYUnder$81.2K@ 51.4¢
ratatatatatatatataaaa0x7f8e…4487
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ratatatatatatatataaaaUnder$229.6K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·4 fills
weflyhighUnder$170.3K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·5 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rOver$139.4K
BUY VWAP 49.4¢·7 fills
maz26Under$55.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
THEdirkdigglerUnder$26.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
0xb4f9…c9a7Under$20.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
PainfulvoidOver$11.5K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.