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Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)

Sports→Settlement: Phoenix MercuryLiquidity: $140.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $122.3KEvent: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
0.0¢
Los Angeles Sparks payout
100.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Sparks$20.0K@ 49¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Phoenix Mercury. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-12 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks" if the Los Angeles Sparks win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks" if the Los Angeles Sparks win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Sparks@ 48.0¢12d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Sparks; negative values favor Phoenix Mercury. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $36
6hLos Angeles Sparks · $25.0K
24hLos Angeles Sparks · $32.9K

Los Angeles Sparks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Sparks price. Phoenix Mercury fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Sparks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▼ below by 48.5pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Sparks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$45
50¢
$4.5K
45¢
$42.1K
40¢
$1.3K
35¢
$17
30¢
$5
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$131

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Sparks$20.0K@ 49.3¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—12 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.