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Raiders vs. Chargers

Sports→Settlement: RaidersLiquidity: $454.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.0MEvent: Raiders vs. Chargers
100.0¢
Raiders payout
0.0¢
Chargers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLRaiders$237.8K@ 100¢·optimistic-dragon

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Raiders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders".

•If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 4:05PM ET: If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

COUNTER FLOWBUY Raiders@ 54.0¢13d ago
15m CONFIRMED +44.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Chargers13d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Chargers@ 57.0¢13d ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chargers@ 67.0¢13d ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h INVALIDATED -27.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raiders; negative values favor Chargers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChargers · $79.9K
6hChargers · $176.2K
24hChargers · $272.8K

Raiders price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raiders price. Chargers fills are converted to the complementary Raiders probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h60.5¢▲ above by 39.5pp
VWAP 7d60.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raiders price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$517.6K
90¢
$131
85¢
$0
80¢
$56.0K
75¢
$222
70¢
$114
65¢
$153
60¢
$63.3K
55¢
$26.2K
50¢
$183.4K
45¢
$30.4K
40¢
$117.6K
35¢
$283.5K
30¢
$172.2K
25¢
$164.5K
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRaiders$237.8K@ 99.9¢
optimistic-dragon0xa92f…ea6e
🐋—13 days ago
SELLRaiders$46.1K@ 99.9¢
0xAlikz0x2037…473d
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$12.2K@ 99.9¢
0xAlikz0x2037…473d
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$22.1K@ 99.0¢
LifeIsABoxOfChocolates0x344b…c1e1
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$148.3K@ 99.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$11.4K@ 99.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$14.2K@ 98.9¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$20.0K@ 81.0¢
insidiousidiot0xd88a…a7e4
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$46.1K@ 48.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$12.7K@ 54.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—13 days ago
SELLChargers$16.5K@ 45.4¢0x17c4…2471🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$52.9K@ 61.0¢
ChonkyChocolateCake0xf23c…9f81
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$20.8K@ 51.8¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$12.5K@ 52.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$24.9K@ 52.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$20.0K@ 55.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$31.9K@ 41.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$13.8K@ 64.0¢
vilkaZ0x5f38…eb70
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$13.0K@ 64.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$13.0K@ 64.0¢
mirotvorets0x7d9d…3c52
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$13.2K@ 64.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$13.0K@ 64.0¢
VibeDoter0xe4a7…dc87
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$27.8K@ 64.0¢
Qpkwks0x9ee8…89de
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$12.8K@ 64.0¢
gityu0x4f21…82d6
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$13.3K@ 48.0¢0xd3a0…f136🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$12.9K@ 62.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$16.0K@ 33.0¢
optimistic-dragon0xa92f…ea6e
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$39.6K@ 33.0¢
optimistic-dragon0xa92f…ea6e
🐋—13 days ago
BUYRaiders$10.5K@ 30.9¢
optimistic-dragon0xa92f…ea6e
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$21.5K@ 74.0¢
phonesculptor0xf152…64aa
🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$95.0K@ 73.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—14 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.