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Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $151.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $409.9KEvent: Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets
47.5¢
FC Barcelona payout
52.5¢
Elche CF payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:137 trades$174.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 164 min agoofficial metadata 145 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FC Barcelona · $6.0K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$65.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFC Barcelona$30.0K@ 100¢·danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Elche CF".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for August 23 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Elche CF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
xbcasd2 linked markets · $150.2K gross
swisstony6 linked markets · $120.9K gross
UpTheBlues5 linked markets · $31.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elche CF@ 51.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Elche CF DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $48 → $74 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FC Barcelona; negative values favor Elche CF. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElche CF · $25.4K
6hElche CF · $39.5K
24hElche CF · $50.5K

FC Barcelona price VWAP

Volume-weighted FC Barcelona price. Elche CF fills are converted to the complementary FC Barcelona probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h63.4¢▼ below by 15.9pp
VWAP 7d63.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FC Barcelona price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$41.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$8.2K
75¢
$21
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$21
55¢
$0
50¢
$103.1K
45¢
← now
$20.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFC Barcelona$30.0K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFC Barcelona$13.7K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYElche CF$15.8K@ 49.8¢
predictionlegend0x3eb0…6a68
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYElche CF$11.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYElche CF$11.0K@ 50.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 21 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gransaaaElche CF$22.8K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026FC Barcelona$21.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·5 fills
predictionlegendElche CF$17.1K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesElche CF$15.3K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·6 fills
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6FC Barcelona$12.4K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·3 fills
swisstonyFC Barcelona$12.3K
BUY VWAP 81.7¢·9 fills
ferrariChampions2026Elche CF$11.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.