LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

● quote 27 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets3Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:485 trades$695.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$3.2K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$104.4K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGen.G (NO)$40.2K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$32.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$32.5K

+$59.3K

tracked

$695.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$3.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -76.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 27 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h2 linked markets · $89.6K gross

0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $87.6K gross

fkgggg2mouzfuria3 linked markets · $57.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY T1@ 77.0¢1h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 24.0¢1h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 51.0¢1h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: YES DOWN 7.1pp · near-book depth $80 → $528 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$32.5K

6h+$59.3K

24h+$59.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h25.3¢▼ below by 25.2pp

VWAP 7d25.3¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

$4.6K

70¢

$12.6K

65¢