LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

● quote 44 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $685.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:462 trades$472.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$2.5K·3 wallets·$20.2K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGen.G (NO)$20.4K@ 100¢·0xdac3…66d8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$107.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$107.7K

−$19.8K

tracked

$472.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$2.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 44 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 57 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 44 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $63.3K gross

0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $39.4K gross

0xf23c…9f812 linked markets · $38.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY T12h ago

Outcome checks pending

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 91.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY T1@ 11.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE

ANTI CHASEBUY Gen.G2h ago

Outcome checks pending

Latest book event: NO UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $591 → $2.4K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$107.7K

6h−$19.8K

24h−$18.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h29.5¢▼ below by 29.4pp

VWAP 7d29.5¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

$3.9K

90¢

$52

85¢

$1.2K

80¢

$10.1K

75¢