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Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Arsenal FCLiquidity: $153.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $348.3KEvent: Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC - More Markets
100.0¢
Arsenal FC payout
0.0¢
Coventry City FC payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arsenal FC · $10.2K net·4 wallets·$29.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCoventry City FC$20.0K@ 41¢·FullPicks1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arsenal FC. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coventry City FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for August 21 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coventry City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony8 linked markets · $117.5K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $101.5K gross
GoalLineGhost5 linked markets · $31.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arsenal FC; negative values favor Coventry City FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoventry City FC · $15.8K
6hArsenal FC · $8.8K
24hArsenal FC · $25.0K

Arsenal FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arsenal FC price. Coventry City FC fills are converted to the complementary Arsenal FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.0¢▲ above by 26.0pp
VWAP 7d74.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arsenal FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$42.1K
90¢
$6.6K
85¢
$8.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$936
65¢
$0
60¢
$49.1K
55¢
$40.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCoventry City FC$20.0K@ 41.0¢
FullPicks10x9b1e…82c9
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FullPicks1Coventry City FC$20.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
swisstonyArsenal FC$15.0K
BUY VWAP 95.4¢·6 fills
thatguythatguyArsenal FC$14.6K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.