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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote 582 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $531.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $563.3KEvent: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:199 trades$235.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 589 min agoofficial metadata 577 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$8.9K·4 wallets·$9.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$27.6K@ 62¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$20.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.1K
6h
+$61.4K
tracked
$235.5K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$8.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 582 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 589 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 577 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 01:38 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 11 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 34.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Texas Rangers@ 67.0¢12h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 67.0¢12h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $19.3K → $457 · 24s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$20.1K
6h+$61.4K
24h+$65.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h38.7¢▼ below by 38.6pp
VWAP 7d38.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$4
65¢
$3.6K
60¢
$54.2K
55¢
$8.3K
50¢
$10.0K
45¢
$16.3K
40¢
$10.8K
35¢
$21.5K
30¢
$30.8K
25¢
$50.2K
20¢
$6.5K
15¢
$214
10¢
$7.5K
5¢
$10
0¢
← now
$15.7K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$17.3K@ 26.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLLos Angeles Angels (NO)$15.3K@ 75.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels (NO)$10.0K@ 49.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$18.9K@ 61.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$27.6K@ 62.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafTexas Rangers$67.7K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·4 fills
0x5268…135dLos Angeles Angels$26.6K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·10 fills
0x5268…135dTexas Rangers$12.3K
BUY VWAP 36.5¢·8 fills
0x1b47…d814Los Angeles Angels$10.4K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·2 fills
johnny234Los Angeles Angels$10.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.