Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote 486 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $271.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
28.5¢
YES
71.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:444 trades$640.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 491 min agoofficial metadata 489 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $286.3K·9 wallets(2🐋)·$328.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$83.3K@ 83¢·Djdjdjekekek

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$50.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$50.3K
6h
−$363.5K
tracked
$640.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: −$286.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 67

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 486 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 491 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 489 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 11 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5268…135d3 linked markets · $81.1K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $17.4K gross
0xbca0…97052 linked markets · $16.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 54.0¢8h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 81.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 81.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 81.0¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $129$43 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$50.3K
6h$363.5K
24h$384.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h26.2¢▲ above by 2.3pp
VWAP 7d26.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.0K
65¢
$5.7K
60¢
$36.4K
55¢
$201
50¢
$300
45¢
$13.2K
40¢
$31.4K
35¢
$19.7K
30¢
$23.9K
25¢
← now
$88.5K
20¢
$16.9K
15¢
$312.5K
10¢
$813
5¢
$23.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$10.2K@ 37.0¢
Winnerdinnerchickenjr0x408f…b2f4
🐋about 9 hours ago
BUYKansas City Royals (YES)$13.8K@ 62.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋about 9 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$20.7K@ 93.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋about 9 hours ago
BUYKansas City Royals (YES)$15.7K@ 28.0¢0x7d99…c027🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$15.7K@ 57.0¢
Winnerdinnerchickenjr0x408f…b2f4
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$57.2K@ 81.7¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$47.2K@ 83.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$83.3K@ 83.3¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$17.5K@ 83.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$64.9K@ 83.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$30.3K@ 84.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$25.2K@ 72.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekLos Angeles Dodgers$270.0K
BUY VWAP 82.8¢·5 fills
FeromontLos Angeles Dodgers$45.9K
BUY VWAP 80.2¢·2 fills
0x5268…135dLos Angeles Dodgers$36.7K
BUY VWAP 59.8¢·11 fills
0F62Los Angeles Dodgers$36.0K
BUY VWAP 81.8¢·2 fills
WinnerdinnerchickenjrLos Angeles Dodgers$15.7K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0x7d99…c027Kansas City Royals$15.7K
BUY VWAP 28.0¢·1 fill
ic4creamLos Angeles Dodgers$15.3K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·3 fills
0x5268…135dKansas City Royals$14.7K
BUY VWAP 32.6¢·8 fills
johnny234Kansas City Royals$13.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.