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Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Sports→Settlement: PatriotsLiquidity: $396.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $857.8KEvent: Patriots vs. Seahawks
0.0¢
Seahawks payout
100.0¢
Patriots payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $35.9K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$44.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$179.0K@ 47¢·Supremeleader75

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Patriots. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-10 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 9 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $119.7K gross
Wannac2 linked markets · $61.2K gross
mooseborzoi6 linked markets · $60.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 47.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Patriots@ 54.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Patriots. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeahawks · $0
6hSeahawks · $10.9K
24hSeahawks · $164.8K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Patriots fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▼ below by 43.0pp
VWAP 7d43.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$340.4K
40¢
$450
35¢
$31
30¢
$102
25¢
$4
20¢
$4.5K
15¢
$24
10¢
$78
5¢
$4.1K
0¢
← now
$23.5K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPatriots$12.6K@ 99.9¢
JUSTINHERBERTMVP0x86e9…4cdf
🐋—5 days ago
BUYPatriots$11.1K@ 54.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—5 days ago
BUYSeahawks$40.0K@ 47.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—5 days ago
BUYPatriots$37.8K@ 54.0¢
Wannac0xa8e0…ad50
🐋—5 days ago
BUYSeahawks$179.0K@ 47.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—5 days ago
BUYPatriots$21.6K@ 54.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—5 days ago
BUYSeahawks$10.1K@ 47.0¢
jdfngkdjfnfd0x6f65…172c
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Supremeleader75Seahawks$180.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Seahawks$40.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
WannacPatriots$37.8K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
FeromontPatriots$21.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
bands1Patriots$11.1K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
jdfngkdjfnfdSeahawks$10.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.