Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote 53 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $399.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:407 trades$78.9K trackedsource coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$13.8K·7 wallets(1🐋)·$23.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$17.1K@ 63¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$94
6h
+$6.9K
tracked
$78.9K

7 verified profitable wallets: +$13.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +35.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 53 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 60 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 53 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 8 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony2 linked markets · $16.5K gross
0xb361…73482 linked markets · $1.4K gross
curie3 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 65.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 63.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 11.5pp · near-book depth $13.0K$53 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$94
6h+$6.9K
24h+$47.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h58.3¢▲ above by 41.6pp
VWAP 7d58.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.0K
90¢
$12
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$3.6K
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$184
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$52.1K
55¢
$2.1K
50¢
$2.1K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$1.7K
35¢
$272
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$7.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$14.8K@ 63.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋about 13 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$17.1K@ 63.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Los Angeles Dodgers$17.1K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
texaskidLos Angeles Dodgers$14.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.