LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 56 min ago
SportsCloses: 6 minutesLiquidity: $757.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $646.7KEvent: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly36Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:191 trades$257.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 47 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAnyones Legend (YES)$15.5K@ 100¢·0xdac3…66d8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.7K
6h
−$56.5K
tracked
$257.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$5.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 56 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 85 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 47 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 2 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 2 against Anyone's Legend. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcae6…4f853 linked markets · $73.2K gross
JaJa6683 linked markets · $65.8K gross
0xdac3…66d83 linked markets · $51.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$2.7K
6h$56.5K
24h$51.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h87.6¢▲ above by 12.3pp
VWAP 7d87.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$162.0K
90¢
$6.0K
85¢
$17.5K
80¢
$11.2K
75¢
$906
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$4.2K
55¢
$37.8K
50¢
$13.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLAnyones Legend (YES)$13.9K@ 99.9¢0x3eb3…4d75🐋about 3 hours ago
SELLAnyones Legend (YES)$13.7K@ 99.9¢
JaJa6680x3ebd…b66a
🐋about 4 hours ago
SELLAnyones Legend (YES)$11.8K@ 99.9¢0x4533…0adc🐋about 4 hours ago
SELLAnyones Legend (YES)$15.5K@ 99.9¢0xdac3…66d8🐋about 4 hours ago
SELLAnyones Legend (YES)$10.3K@ 99.9¢0x66b1…6b9d🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.0K@ 97.0¢
MD140x7d78…29a5
🐋about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MD14Anyones Legend$10.0K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.