LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 966 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $576.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $609.0KEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:161 trades$182.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 1019 min agoofficial metadata 956 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBilibili Gaming (YES)$33.3K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$15.7K

tracked

$182.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$499 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 966 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 1019 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 956 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-08 17:45 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x3954…22d93 linked markets · $96.0K gross

retroactivesource3 linked markets · $53.5K gross

0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $23.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming19h ago

Outcome checks pending

LARGE FLOWBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 81.0¢19h ago

15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $153 → $103 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$0

6h−$15.7K

24h−$15.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h93.6¢▲ above by 6.3pp

VWAP 7d93.6¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$116.8K

90¢

$8.5K

85¢

$1.2K

80¢

$42.7K