LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

● quote 726 min ago
SportsCloses: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $429.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $592.5KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly7Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:108 trades$21.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 728 min agoofficial metadata 717 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$13.8K@ 31¢·0x7933…4e10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$47
6h
+$2.5K
tracked
$21.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$33 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 726 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 728 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 717 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against Kiwoom DRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $4.6K gross
0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $3.9K gross
0x7462…3ac32 linked markets · $2.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.4pp · near-book depth $4.6K$70.6K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$47
6h+$2.5K
24h$11.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h74.5¢▲ above by 25.4pp
VWAP 7d74.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.7K
90¢
$657
85¢
$2.3K
80¢
$140
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$14.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$13.8K@ 31.0¢0x7933…4e10🐋about 22 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
0.1¢$969.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
28.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$411.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
40.5¢$222.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
44.5¢$183.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner
64.5¢$182.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
25.5¢$182.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x7933…4e10DN SOOPers$13.8K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.