PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

● quote 1435 min ago
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $252.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $226.7KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
10.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$85.3K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1589 min agoofficial metadata 1435 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $12.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$12.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver (YES)$72.4K@ 49¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$59.6K
tracked
$85.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$12.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 1435 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1589 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1435 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-30 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 30 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony2 linked markets · $686 gross
0xbca0…97052 linked markets · $369 gross
0x212b…0ba52 linked markets · $40 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 48.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 27.0pp · near-book depth $3 → $196 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$59.6K
24h+$59.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.0¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▼ below by 39.0pp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$47
50¢
$5
45¢
$85.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYUnder (NO)$12.8K@ 51.0¢
dv-pm0x56ac…d77e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYOver (YES)$72.4K@ 49.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$820.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$631.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
56.5¢$598.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage
100.0¢$327.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$284.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Over$72.4K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
dv-pmUnder$12.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.