PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

● quote 329 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $436.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $641.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly50Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 48%
24h sample:62 trades$44.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 93%
tape 356 min agoofficial metadata 327 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTheMongolz (NO)$23.4K@ 85¢·0xcbd3…117e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$654
6h
−$20.1K
tracked
$44.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 48% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 329 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 356 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 327 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FaZe and TheMongolz in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 1 against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against FaZe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $36.2K gross
0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $13.0K gross
0x6e2c…787c2 linked markets · $2.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY TheMongolz8h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY TheMongolz@ 75.0¢8h ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.2pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 4.8pp · near-book depth $15 → $317 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$654
6h−$20.1K
24h−$20.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h25.2¢▲ above by 74.7pp
VWAP 7d25.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$939
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$101
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$100
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$23.8K
5¢
$1.3K
0¢
$7.4K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTheMongolz (NO)$23.4K@ 85.3¢0xcbd3…117e🐋—about 8 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
55.5¢$579.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage
100.0¢$514.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$375.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$290.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
46.5¢$262.2Kpriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xcbd3…117eTheMongolz$23.4K
BUY VWAP 85.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.