LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 2 min ago
SportsCloses: 21 minutesLiquidity: $132.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $198.3KEvent: LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%
24h sample:10 trades$34.4K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 168 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVivo Keyd Stars (YES)$22.0K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$34.2K
tracked
$34.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Observed tape is 168 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 2 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 2 against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $153 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$34.2K
24h+$34.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h99.6¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d99.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34.4K
90¢
$5
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYVivo Keyd Stars (YES)$22.0K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYVivo Keyd Stars (YES)$12.2K@ 99.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
100.0¢$215.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$840.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
16.5¢$598.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
57.5¢$437.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢$282.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Vivo Keyd Stars$34.2K
BUY VWAP 99.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.