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Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlek

● quote 336 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $244.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $441.4KEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlek
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection66Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:69 trades$9.4K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 70%
tape 350 min agoofficial metadata 338 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLilli Tagger (YES)$3.0K@ 99¢·0xbf87…ce4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$4.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.3K
6h
−$5.6K
tracked
$9.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 70% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 336 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 350 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Sara Bejlek in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Sara Bejlek. This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $127 → $42 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$4.3K
6h−$5.6K
24h−$5.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.9¢▲ above by 20.0pp
VWAP 7d79.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$355
75¢
$6
70¢
$36
65¢
$0
60¢
$493
55¢
$0
50¢
$198
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$1
20¢
$26
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.