PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

● quote 215 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.2MEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 34%
24h sample:389 trades$174.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 64%
tape 287 min agoofficial metadata 216 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$15.2K@ 86¢·0xdd88…dadb

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$16.0K
tracked
$174.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 34% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 64% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 215 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 287 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-24 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 10h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc69b…20764 linked markets · $19.6K gross
0x4ef4…e76b3 linked markets · $10.6K gross
0x1e8c…64523 linked markets · $9.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET STATE10h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: NO DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $1.8K → $13.0K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h−$16.0K
24h−$37.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.9¢▼ below by 21.9pp
VWAP 7d21.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$212
45¢
$8.0K
40¢
$16.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$7.6K
25¢
$9.2K
20¢
$4.0K
15¢
$11.7K
10¢
$31.3K
5¢
$6.9K
0¢
← now
$14.6K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$15.2K@ 86.0¢0xdd88…dadb🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$10.3K@ 86.0¢0xdd88…dadb🐋—about 16 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
0.1¢$148.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
30.5¢$976.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$913.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$742.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
0.1¢$701.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
99.8¢$644.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
100.0¢$431.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
0.1¢$306.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xdd88…dadbBilibili Gaming$25.5K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.