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Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova

● quote 391 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $634.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $829.5KEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:323 trades$24.8K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 88%
tape 401 min agoofficial metadata 389 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $521·4 wallets·$1.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTereza Valentova (NO)$6.4K@ 72¢·0x5268…135d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.2K
6h
−$5.0K
tracked
$24.8K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$521 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 391 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 401 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 389 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-31 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Tereza Valentova in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Tereza Valentova. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Valentova' if Tereza Valentova advances against Marie Bouzkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL NO7h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL NO@ 23.0¢7h ago
15m INVALIDATED -45.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY YES9h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 69.0¢9h ago
15m CONFIRMED +26.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $12 → $77 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$2.2K
6h−$5.0K
24h−$5.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h52.3¢▼ below by 52.2pp
VWAP 7d52.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$57
90¢
$12
85¢
$32
80¢
$349
75¢
$658
70¢
$3.2K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$4.3K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$480
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$821
35¢
$0
30¢
$219
25¢
$6.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$8

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.