New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote 129 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $848.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $109.4KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
56.5¢
YES
43.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly90Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%
24h sample:14 trades$1.9K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 147 min agoofficial metadata 133 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$1.3K@ 43¢·0xc3c3…eec8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$50
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$1.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • Executable quote is 129 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 147 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 133 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-03 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 27 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$50
6h$1.2K
24h$1.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h57.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d57.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$1.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
47.5¢$182.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
33.5¢$381.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
63.5¢$342.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
54.5¢$280.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
56.5¢$236.2Kpriority79Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
40.5¢$219.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
53.5¢$208.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
47.5¢$191.1Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.