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LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

● quote 14555 min ago
Sports→Closes: 10 daysLiquidity: $340.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $593.1KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$53.9K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$61.8K
tracked
$173.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 15 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 14555 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 14712 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-30 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h−$61.8K
24h−$61.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h5.1¢▼ below by 5.0pp
VWAP 7d5.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$24.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$11.3K
0¢
← now
$137.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$37.9K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—10 days ago
SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$53.9K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$43.9K@ 99.8¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$11.3K@ 91.9¢
retroactivesource0x85d5…45ee
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$10.6K@ 70.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$13.8K@ 67.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.