LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

● quote 25 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $699.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $741.8KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets61Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:151 trades$42.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 93 min agoofficial metadata 26 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$164·2 wallets·$178 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam WE (NO)$16.0K@ 40¢·Zywoo123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$26.0K
tracked
$42.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$164 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 25 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 93 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $10.7K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $6.7K gross
0xf64e…a1dd2 linked markets · $5.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $1.2K$7.4K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$26.0K
24h$26.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.0¢▲ above by 35.9pp
VWAP 7d64.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.5K
90¢
$994
85¢
$0
80¢
$59
75¢
$5.1K
70¢
$447
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$16.8K
55¢
$14.6K
50¢
$468
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam WE (NO)$16.0K@ 40.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam WE (NO)$10.8K@ 44.4¢0x4c3d…3735🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Zywoo123Team WE$16.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
0x4c3d…3735Team WE$10.8K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.