LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 433 min ago
SportsCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $256.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 44%
24h sample:217 trades$67.7K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 85%
tape 501 min agoofficial metadata 372 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming (YES)$23.5K@ 49¢·0xe907…cff6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$8.1K
tracked
$67.7K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 44% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 433 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 501 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 372 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-25 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for July 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $57.8K gross
esportGG2 linked markets · $39.7K gross
0xa469…07822 linked markets · $26.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $644$1.0K · 6s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$8.1K
24h+$8.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h54.8¢▲ above by 45.1pp
VWAP 7d54.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$5.5K
50¢
$12.5K
45¢
$30.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYInvictus Gaming (YES)$23.5K@ 49.3¢0xe907…cff6🐋about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe907…cff6Invictus Gaming$23.6K
BUY VWAP 49.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.