LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

● quote 146 min ago
SportsCloses: 31 minutesLiquidity: $256.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $369.6KEvent: LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:72 trades$43.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 99%
tape 172 min agoofficial metadata 143 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Esports (NO)$32.8K@ 82¢·0x6918…782b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$5.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.1K
6h
+$9.1K
tracked
$43.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$1.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 146 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 172 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 143 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-25 20:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x84ad…bfb73 linked markets · $764 gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $129 gross
0xe361…ae442 linked markets · $126 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY G2 Esports@ 82.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$5.1K
6h+$9.1K
24h$23.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h14.8¢▼ below by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d14.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$91
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$33.0K
10¢
$159
5¢
$553
0¢
← now
$7.7K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYG2 Esports (NO)$32.8K@ 82.0¢0x6918…782b🐋about 13 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
100.0¢$843.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$807.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
100.0¢$806.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
0.3¢$777.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)
48.5¢$695.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
0.3¢$558.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
99.7¢$435.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x6918…782bG2 Esports$32.8K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.